Kalshi Macro Signal Monitor

For Claude: How to Use This Skill

Skill instructions are preloaded in context when this skill is active. Do not perform filesystem searches or tool-driven exploration to rediscover them; use the guidance below directly.

When to Use

• monitor kalshi macro signals
• show gap and coil support for kalshi
• what changed in kalshi macro alignment

Output Contract

This skill is self-contained. Use these local references:

• references/output-contract.md
• references/desktop-summary-template.md

Workflow Summary

1. fetch_kalshi_markets uses connector.kalshi_oracle.get
2. fetch_gap_signals uses connector.macro_gap.get
3. fetch_coil_signals uses connector.macro_coil.get
4. assess_signal_health uses transform.assess_kalshi_signal_health
5. map_macro_signals uses transform.map_macro_signals_to_kalshi_contracts
6. rank_macro_alignment uses transform.rank_kalshi_macro_alignment
7. compare_previous_scan uses transform.diff_kalshi_macro_runs
8. persist_run uses connector.storage.post
9. persist_snapshot uses connector.storage.post
10. render_summary uses transform.render_kalshi_macro_report

Responsibilities

• monitor gap and coil support relevant to Kalshi contracts
• map macro signals to candidate contracts
• expose directional alignment and non-alignment
• show what changed since the prior scan
• persist macro signal monitor snapshots

Output Rules

Explain:

• what gap saw
• what coil saw
• whether they aligned or conflicted
• whether the signal is fresh enough to trust
• whether the contract should stay watchlist-only because health is unclear